Wpistons Basketball Betting News

<< Title game helps Southland seize national spotlight
Frisco, TX (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - For the first time in 14 years, the FCS national championship game will not run through Chattanooga, Tennessee. Understandably, people aren't pleased in Chattanooga. "It's hard to believe that the NCAA would walk a

<< Angels scratch Pineiro, Shields starts against Boston
Anaheim, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Joel Pineiro was a late scratch for Wednesday's series finale against the Red Sox. Pineiro, who was set to make his 21st appearance of the season, was scratched because of a left oblique strain. On the seaso

<< Montanes, Gasquet reach Gstaad quarters
Gstaad, Switzerland (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Recent Stuttgart champion Albert Montanes of Spain and former top-10 star Richard Gasquet were among Wednesday's second-round winners at the Swiss Open Gstaad. The fourth-seeded Monta

<< Tigers manager Leyland suspended
New York, NY (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Major League Baseball has suspended Detroit Tigers manager Jim Leyland for one game for his "inappropriate and aggressive conduct" during Monday's game against the Tampa Bay Rays. The skipper w

Bengals sign Dunlap >>
Cincinnati, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Cincinnati Bengals have reportedly signed rookie defensive end Carlos Dunlap. The Cincinnati Enquirer is reporting that Cincinnati's second round pick has signed for four years. Last season w

Ducks sign first-round choice Fowler >>
Anaheim, CA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Anaheim Ducks have signed defenseman Cam Fowler, their first-round draft choice, to a three-year entry-level contract. Per team policy, no financial details of the deal were released. The 18-year-old

Young powers offense as Twins complete sweep of Royals >>
Kansas City, MO (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Delmon Young hit a three-run homer and Jason Repko added a solo shot, as the Twins completed a three-game sweep of the Royals with a 6-4 win. It wasn't the same result as the past two days, when M

McCourty signs with Patriots >>
Foxborough, MA (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The New England Patriots have signed first-round draft pick Devin McCourty. Terms of the deal for the former Rutgers cornerback were not disclosed, but the Boston Globe reported it to be a five-ye

Betting Football

Is there such a thing as a trap game in the NFL?

I once asked that question to Pete Korner, who at the time was office manager and a senior linesmaker for Las Vegas Sports Consultants.

Korner almost ripped my head off. There is no such thing as a trap game, he loudly berated me. It’s a myth. The numbers are made using power ratings, he said.

There are trap games, though. They just might not be what you think. The perception is of a good team, say Philadelphia, laying a small number against New Orleans.

Using the highly-respected power ranking from The Gold Sheet, you’d find the Eagles with a power rating of 4 and the Saints at 8. When you factor the game being played in New Orleans, you could see why the line opened so short at less than a field goal.

For some, this makes it enticing to take the Eagles. That’s not a real trap game, though.

A real trap game, says professional gambler Dave Malinsky, is thinking you’re getting value betting a bad team, which brings us to the Oakland Raiders-Denver Broncos matchup.

The Raiders are +15 in this long-standing division rivalry. Denver is on a short week having dispatched Baltimore Monday. However, the Raiders haven’t covered the spread their last 10 games.

Many bettors don’t trust the Raiders to give a full effort. Few think much of Art Shell and his Oakland’s coaching staff.

So oddsmakers have to do something to make Oakland attractive if they hope to get equal action.

Now Malinsky is a value shopper. But he won’t touch the Raiders even getting more than two touchdowns.

“I try to eliminate the undisciplined, unfocused teams because they’re the ones most likely to suffer the bad beats,” he said.

Near the top of Malinsky’s list of stay-away teams is the Miami Dolphins, who have yet to cover a spread this season.

“Whatever you think of Nick Saban, you have to look at the penalties and turnovers,” Malinsky said.

It’s easy to point out the Dolphins failed to get the money this past week against New England because Olindo Mare missed a field goal and had another field goal blocked. But even though the Dolphins outgained the Patriots, 283-213, they committed eight penalties.

Bad teams not only cost themselves victories, but pointspread covers as well. The Arizona Cardinals and Green Bay Packers are two more examples.

The Cardinals couldn’t have been in a better position this past Sunday, up 14-0 at home against a mediocre Kansas City Chiefs squad. But they couldn’t hold it. The Packers got a push against St. Louis, but also could have won losing by three when Brett Favre fumbled at the St. Louis 11-yard line with 44 seconds left.

“The Packers were in a position to beat Philadelphia, too,” Malinsky said. “But they couldn’t even cover double digits.

“These teams just make mistakes and it costs you … they always will look good from a value standpoint. They really will. But that’s the trap.”

Houston and Tennessee rank among the six-worst teams. Malinsky wouldn’t be afraid to take either of these teams, however, if the price were high enough.

The Texans are bad, Malinsky said, but they have some discipline. The Titans showed they could not only come up with an outstanding game plan, but execute it as well, losing by one to the Colts on the road as an 18 ?-point underdog this past Sunday.

“Jeff Fisher is a worker,” Malinsky said of the Titans coach. “I’m not sure how hard Art Shell wants to work when he gets out of bed.”

Fisher, though, could be out as Tennessee coach after this season. Is he still worth backing in the right spot, with the right price, as a lame duck coach?

“It’s in his nature to keep working hard and not worry about any possible lame duck status,” Malinsky said. “He’s coaching for his resume.”

Note: Monday night game will be picked Monday. Lines used are from football betting lines.

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